Friday, March 20, 2020

China's Coronavirus

If I may indulge in a thought experiment. There are now a quarter of a million cases of Coronavirus worldwide with over 10,000 deaths. The disease is in the exponential phase of its growth and it looks like there will be 500,000 cases by early April, even if all the right steps are taken to contain it.

China's economy is a house of cards, the value of the Yuan is an illusion. There are tens of millions of surplus men who Chinese Communist Party needs to keep occupied. They must have 10% GDP growth per year to keep control over their vast, crumbling empire. And things in China are crumbling. Whole ghost cities are being built in the desert out of plywood, chicken wire, and spray on cement. Apartments lie empty because the rent is in the millions, and after a few years of abandonment they collapse from neglect due to their shoddy construction. Sometimes whole buildings just fall over.





Since Nixon no one dared challenge the Chinese. Clinton sold all US heavy industry to China. They steal our patents for decades and no one fights back. China has seen more economic growth in the period between 2001 when they were allowed to join the World Trade Organization until 2016 than the US did in 200 years.

Trump takes power and fights back with tariffs. China devalues its currency in retaliation but it doesn't help. Their economy is still declining. Every attempt to remove Trump from office fails: faithless electors, Russiagate, pee-peegate. The Shampeachment fails and Trump's popularity soars to its highest in 4 years. All the Democrat candidates are unpopular and have health problems. There is no legit way to remove him from office and he will get 4 more years to hammer China further into the ground. We saw the tremendous response Trump got during his trip to India. Production may move there and destroy China's standing as the factory of the world.

The CCP is desperate. They have only one card to play: Trump is the economy president. If the US economy collapses he will lose in 2020. China then ALLOWS a crippling disease to escape their only BSL-4 lab in Wuhan and it spreads throughout the world.

Most bio-weapons do not kill. The best weapons, like Q fever & tularemia, are highly infectious & incapacitate victims but do not kill, so the enemy can be defeated with little physical force. Wuhan Virus is the same. China does not want to kill Americans, or even Trump, they just want to collapse the US economy so Trump will not get re-elected and China will be unchallenged economic hegemon of the world.

The CCP murdered 80+ million of its own people in 1950s and 60s. They would think nothing of infecting 100,000 Chinese with Wuhan Virus if it meant the US economy would collapse. It's a small price to pay to assure Trump's defeat.

I'm not saying this is what happened, but it does put everything into perspective. China could have ended the pandemic in December, but they chose to let it spread around the world. I'll let you draw your own conclusions.